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Prof L. Alan Winters

In detail...

photo of Prof L. Alan Winters
Post:Professor of Economics
Other posts:Professor of Economics (Migration)
Location:Arts E E513
Email:L.A.Winters@sussex.ac.uk
Telephone numbers
Internal:8332 or
8889
UK:(01273) 678332 or
(01273) 678889
International:+44 1273 678332 or
+44 1273 678889

Biography

L Alan Winters is Professor of Economics in the University of Sussex. He is a Research Fellow and former Programme Director of the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR, London) and Fellow of IZA, Munich. From 2004 to 2007 he was Director of the Development Research Group of the World Bank, the world's largest and leading group of development economists, and was previously Division Chief and Research Manager (1994-99) and Economist (1983-85) in the Bank. He has also worked previously in the Universities of Cambridge, Bristol, Wales and Birmingham.  He has been editor of the World Bank Economic Review and associate editor of the Economic Journal, and is about to become editor of The World Trade Review; he serves on several editorial boards. He has also advised, inter alia, the OECD, DfID, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the European Commission, the European Parliament, UNCTAD, the WTO, and the Inter-American Development Bank.

 

L Alan Winters is one of the world's leading specialists on the empirical and policy analysis of international trade and development, and has recently also worked on migration and the brain drain. He has published over two hundred articles and thirty books in areas such as regional trading arrangements, non-tariff barriers, European Integration, transition economies' trade, international labour mobility, agricultural protection, trade and poverty, and the world trading system. He has also published on small economies, global warming, pricing behavior and econometrics.

Publications

Articles and Chapters

 "The Temporary Movement of Workers to Provide Services (GATS Mode 4)." In A Handbook of International Trade in Services, ed. A. Mattoo, R.M. Stern, and G. Zanini. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2007, Chapter 13, pp.480-541.

'The Consequences of globalisation: India's software industry and cross border labour mobility' , The World Economy, vol 31(2), pp. 187-211, 2008, (with Simon Commander, Rupa Chanda and Mari Kangasniemi)

"Trade Liberalization and Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam", Journal of Economic Integration, Vol.22, No.4, 2007, pp.819-851(with Y .Niimi, and P. Vasudeva Dutta)

‘Development and Trade: Cross-departmental working', Oral Evidence to House of Commons International Development Committee, Second Report of Session 2007-8, HC 68, London: The Stationery Office Limited, pp. Ev1-7.

"Coherence and the WTO," Oxford Review of Economic Policy 23(2) on Trade, Development, and the WTO, Summer 2007, pp. 461-480.

"Is the Medical Brain Drain Beneficial? Evidence from Overseas Doctors in the UK", Social Science & Medicine, 65: 915-23 (with Mari Kangasniemi and Simon Commander)

"Quantifying international migration : a database of bilateral migrant stocks" (with C. Parsons, R. Skeldon, T. Walmsley), chapter 1 of  C Ozden and M Schiff  (ed.s)  International Migration, Economic Develoment and Policy, Palgrave and The World Bank, 2007, pp. 17-58

"Distributional Effects of WTO Agricultural Reforms in Rich and Poor Countries." Economic Policy 50: 289-337, April 2007.

‘Trade and Employment: stylized facts and research findings' (with Bernard Hoekman). In Policy Matters: Economic and Social Policies to Sustain Equitable Development by Jose Antonio Ocampo (Editor), Sarbuland Khan (Editor), Jomo K.S. (Editor). United Nations, New York, Zed Books, London, Opus, New Delhi, 2007.

"Will Trade Liberalisation Reduce Poverty?" Trade Insight 2(3): 14-17, 2007.

 "International Trade and Poverty: Cause or Cure? The Australian Economic Review 39(4): 347-58, 2006.

 "Improving Special and Differential Treatment: some proposals (with B. Hoekman and C. Michalopoulos). In P. Dijck and G. Faber (eds.), Developing Countries and the Doha Development Agenda of the WTO. Routledge, London, pp. 93-103, 2006.

 ‘Trade and poverty in Africa', Journal of Development Policy, South Africa., Vol 2, May 2006, pp.63-85.

‘Poverty impacts of a WTO agreemment: Synthesis and Overview', chapter 1 of  Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda. Thomas W. Hertel and L. Alan Winters, eds., Palgrave Macmillan and the World Bank, pp.3-30, 2006.

"Demographic Transition and the Temporary Mobility of Labor." In Australian Government ‘Workshop on Demographic Challenges and Migration,' pp. 53-74, 2006.

‘Estimating the Poverty Impacts of a Prospective Doha Development Agenda' (with Thomas W. Hertel ) The World Economy, Volume 28, Issue 8, August 2005: 1057-1071.

Comment on "Preference erosion: the case of Fiji sugar" by Satish Chand. In Satish Chand, ed., Pacific Islands Regional Integration and Governance. Asia Pacific Press, pp. 214-17, 2005.

"Policy challenges for small economies in a globalizing world." In Satish Chand, ed., Pacific Islands Regional Integration and Governance. Asia Pacific Press, pp. 7-25, 2005.

‘The Port Geography of UK International Trade' (with Henry G. Overman), Environment and Planning Series A, 2005 vol. 37, pp. 1751-68.

Small Economies in a Globalising World: The Policy Challenges Ahead, Pacific Economic Review, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 94-102, 2005.

‘Linking Trade Liberalization and Poverty: An illustration from Vietnam in the 1990s,' in Globalisation and Poverty: Channels and Poverty Responses, M. Bussolo and J. Round (eds), Routledge, London, chapter 2, pp. 54-73.

‘Small isn't beautiful: the cost disadvantages of small remote economies' (with Pedro Martins), Centre Piece vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 24-28. Summer 2005.

‘Developing Country Proposals for the Liberalization of Movements of Natural Services Suppliers,' in U. Petersmann (ed) Reforming the World Trading System: Legitimacy, Efficiency and Democratic Governance, Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 147-165. Also published in Developing Countries in the Doha Round: WTO Decision-making Procedures and Negotiations on Trade in Agricultural and Services, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, pp. 271-290.

‘Relaxing the restrictions on the temporary movement of natural persons: a simulation analysis', (with Terrie Walmsley), Journal of Economic Integration, vol. 20, no. 4 (December), pp. 688-726, 2005.

‘Coherence with no ‘here': WTO co-operation with the World Bank and the IMF', in The Political Economy of Policy Reform, Douglas Nelson (ed.), Elsevier, pp. 329-351.

‘Regional trading arrangements and and developing countries', The World Trade Organisation Legal, Economic and Political Analysis, Vol. II, Springer, Berlin, pp. 325-338.

‘The European agricultural trade policies and poverty,' European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 32, no. 3, p. 319-346, 2005.

‘Poverty Impacts of a Doha Development Agenda,' The World Economy, vol 28, no. 8, p. 1057-1196 (with Thomas W. Hertel),' 2005.

‘Beautiful but Costly: Business Costs in Small Remote Economies', Economic Paper 67, Commonwealth Secretariat (with Pedro M.G. Martins), London, 2005.

‘When comparative advantage is not enough: business costs in small remote economies', World Trade Review, vol. 3, no. 3, p. 347-383, (with Pedro M.G. Martins), 2004.

‘The impact of a single currency in Europe on product markets: theory and evidence', Chapter 2 in European Integration and the Functioning of Product Markets edited by A. Dierx, F. Ilzkovitz, and K. Sekkat. (with M. Gasiorek, R. Davidson, S. Davies, B. Lyons, D. Ulph, and R. Vaughan. Published on behalf of the Commission of European Communities by Edward Elgar.

‘North and South', Centre Piece, vol. 9, issue 3, pp. 8-13, (with Henry Overman), Autumn 2004.

‘Migration and Development: How to make migration work for poverty reduction', Oral Evidence to House of Commons International Development Committee, Sixth Report of Session 2003-04, HC 79-II, London: The Stationery Office Limited.

‘Adjustment assistance for trade liberalisation', Finance Ministers' Reference Report 2004, pp. 188-190, Commonwealth Secretariat.

‘What Role for the EPAs in the Caribbean?, The World Economy, vol. 27 no. 9, pp. 1335-62 (with Michael Gasiorek), September 2004.

‘Special and Differential Treatment of Developing Countries in the WTO: Moving Forward After Cancún', The World Economy, vol. 27 no. 4, pp. 481-506 (with Bernard Hoekman and Constantine Michalopoulos), April 2004.

‘The EU after Cancun: Can the Leopard Change its Spots?, European Foreign Affairs Review vol. 9, pp. 1-25, (with Jacob Kol) 2004.

"Trade Liberalisation and Poverty: The Evidence so far' Journal of Economic Literature vol. XLII, pp. 72-115 (with A. McKay and N. McCulloch).

‘Economic Integration in the Americas: European perspectives', chapter in A. Estoredeval, D. Rodrik and A. M. Taylor (ed.s) Integrating the Americas: The FTAA and Beyond, Harvard University Press, pp. 75-104, 2004 (with A J Venables).

‘Recovering from Cancun: the EU responsibility', Intereconomics, vol. 38, no 6, pp 339-345, (with Jacob Kol), 2004.

‘Trade liberalisation and economic performance: an overview', Economic Journal, vol. 114, no. 493, February 2004, pp. F4-F21.

‘Trade Liberalisation and Poverty: Two Partial Empirical Studies' Chapter 4 in Katrak H and R Strange (ed.s) The WTO and Developing Countries, Palgrave, Basingstoke, 2004, pp. 63-83.

‘Agriculture and the trade negotiations: a synopsis', Chapter 2 in Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2004 (with Merlinda Ingco), pp. 16-36, 2004.

‘Introduction', in Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2004 (with Merlinda Ingco), pp. 1-15, 2004.

‘Challenges to globalization: an overview', Chapter 7 in Baldwin R E  and L A Winters (ed.s) ‘Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics', Chicago University Press, for NBER (with R E Baldwin), 2004.

‘The Brain Drain: Curse or Boon? A survey of the literature', Chapter 7 in Baldwin R E  and L A Winters (ed.s) ‘Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics', Chicago University Press, for NBER (with S Commander and M Kangasniemi), 2004.

‘The Brain Drain: A Review of Theory and Facts' (with Simon Commander, Mari Kangasniemi), Brussels Economic Review - Cahiers Economiques de Bruxelles, vol. 47, no. 1, Spring 2004.

‘The Economic Implications of Liberalising Mode 4 Trade', Chapter 4 in Mattoo A and Carzaniga A (ed.s)  Moving People to Deliver Services, Oxford University Press, pp. 59-92, 2003.

‘Agricultural trade liberalization and poverty dynamics in three developing countries', American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 85, no 5, pp1285-1291, 2003 (with J Litchfield and N McCulloch).

‘The temporary movement of workers: GATS Mode 4', Chapter 3 in Bridging the Differences: Analyses of Five Issues of the WTO Agenda, Consumer Unity Trust Society, Jaipur, India, pp111-146, September 2003 (with C Breining and R Chadha).

"World poverty: what Cancun can do", International Development Review, Issue 1, vol. 1, September 2003,pp.68-69, 2003.

"Trade and labour standards: to link or not to link?", in Basu K et al (ed.s) International Labor Standards, Blackwell, Oxford, pp.309-313.

"Liberalising temporary movement of natural persons: an agenda for the Development Round", The World Economy, vol. 26 (8), pp.1137-1162 (with T Walmsley, Z Wang and R Grynberg), 2003.

"Doha and World Poverty Targets"  in Pleskovic B and Stern N (ed.s) The New Reform Agenda, Proceedings of the Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics, World Bank, Washington, DC,  2003, pp. 91-121.

"EMU and the Rest of the World: Thinking about the effects on the Real Economy", Baimbridge M and Whyman P Economic and Monetary Union In Europe: Theory,Evidence and Practice,Edward Elgar, Cheltenham., pp144-162, 2003.

‘What can Arab countries learn from Europe? An institutional analysis', chapter 7 in Galal A and Hoekman B (ed.s) Arab Economic Integration, Brookings, Washington DC, pp. 148-161, 2003.

‘Possible dynamic effects of ASEAN/AFTA accession for the new member  countries', The World Economy, vol. 26(6), pp. 853-872. (with E Fukase), 2003.

‘Regionalism and Development: The Implications of World Bank Research for ACP and Latin American Countries', Journal of World Trade, vol. 36, no3 pp479-499, 2002. (with Maurice Schiff)

‘Trade, trade policy and poverty: what are the links?' The World Economy, vol. 25, no.9, 1339-1367, 200, and Lloyd P and Milner C (ed.s)  Global Trade Policy, 2002, Blackwell, Oxford.

"How Regional Blocs Affect Excluded Countries: The Price Effects of MERCOSUR", American Economic Review, 2002, vol. 92, no. 4, pp889-904.

‘Embrace the world: trade is the way forward', WorldLink - Magazine of the World Economic Forum, May-June, 2002, pp. 20-22.

‘Reciprocity in the WTO', Chapter 7 of Hoekman B, Mattoo A and English P (ed.s) Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook, The World Bank, 2002, pp.50-60. (with J Michael Finger).

‘A tribute to J Michael Finger', in Hoekman B, Mattoo A and English P (ed.s) Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook, The World Bank, 2002, pp xiii-xviii.

‘Trade policies for poverty alleviation', Chapter 5 of Hoekman B, Mattoo A and English P (ed.s) Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook, The World Bank, 2002, pp. 28-38; also on Globkom.net web-site.

‘Harnessing Trade for Development', ‘Making Globalisation Work for the Poor - the European Contribution: The Need for Coherence', 2001, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Sweden

‘Assessing the Efficiency Gain from Further Liberalization: A Comment', in Sauve P and Subramanian A (ed.s) Efficiency, Equity and Legitimacy: The Multilateral Trading System and the Millennium, Chicago University Press, Chicago, 2001, pp.106-113.

"Preferential Trading Arrangements and Excluded Countries: Ex-Post Estimates of the Effects on Prices", The World Economy, vol. 24, no. 6, 2001, pp.797-807.

"Carbon Taxes and Industrial Location:  Evidence from the Multinationals Literature," mimeo (with Z. K. Wang), Chapter 8 in A Ulph (ed), Environmental Policy, International Agreements and International Trade, OUP, 2001, pp.135-151.

‘European Union trade policy: actually or just nominally liberal?' in Wallace H (ed.) Interlocking Dimensions of European Integration, Palgrave, London, 2001, pp.25-44.

‘Le souci de reduire la pauvrete devrait-il mettre un frein a la liberalisation des echanges? (Should concerns about poverty stop trade liberalisation?)', Revue d-Economie du Developpment, 2001, No 1-2, Juin, pp.245-259.

"Post-Lome Trading Arrangements: the Multilateral Alternative", in von Hagen J and Widgren M (ed.s), Regionalism in Europe: Geometries and Strategies after 2000, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 2001, pp.221-260.

"Regionalism for Developing Countries: Assessing the Costs and Benefits", in Lahiri S (ed.) Regionalism and Globalization: Theory and Practice, Routledge, London, 2001, pp.113-143.

‘Factor Mobility and Fiscal Policy in the EU: Policy Issues and Analytical Approaches: Discussion' (on David Wildasin), Economic Policy, No. 31, pp371-372, 2001.

 "Deepening of Regional Integration and Multilateral Trade Agreements," (with E.W. Bond and C. Syropoulos), Journal of International Economics, vol. 52, pp.335-362, 2001.

"How has regionalism in the Ninties affected Trade?", (with Isidro Soloaga) North American Journal of Economics and Finance, v 12, 2001, pp1-29.

‘A review of empirical evidence on trade, trade policy and poverty,' (with A McKay and A M Kedir), report prepared for Department of International Development, July, 2000, as a Background Document for the Second Development White Paper on http://www.dfid.gov.uk.

‘After Seattle: regaining the World Trade Organisation's momentum', New Economy, vol. 7, No. 4, pp.205-209, 2000 (with Z K Wang).

  ‘Comment' (on papers by Jagdish Bhagwati and Rolf J Langhammer), in Siebert H (ed.) The Economics of International Environmental Problems, Institut fur Weltwirtschaft, Kiel (Mohr Siebeck), pp.263-269, 2001.

‘Breaking the Seattle deadlock', (with Zhen Kun Wang), Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, June 2000.

‘Trade and Poverty, Is there a connection?', Chapter 3 in Ben David D, Nordstrom H and Winters L A, Trade, Income Disparity and Poverty, WTO Geneva, June 2000, pp.43-69.

‘Putting Humpty together again: including developing countries in a consensus for the WTO,' (with Zhen Kun Wang) Policy Paper No. 4, April 2000, CEPR, London.

‘Subsidiarity and Governance Challenges for the WTO: The Examples of Environmental and Labour Standards', (with Jim Rollo), The World Economy, vol. 23(4), pp.561-76.

"The EU's preferential Trade Agreements: Objectives and Outcomes", Chapter 9 of Pitou van Dijck and Gerrit Faber (Eds), The External Economic Dimension of the European Union. The Hague, London and Cambridge (Mas): Kluwer Law International, 2000, pp.195-222.

"Regional Integration and Import Prices:  An Empirical Investigation," (with W. Chang), Journal of International Economics, vol. 51(2), pp.363-78, 2000.

 "Transport Costs and "Natural" Integration in Mercosur," (with A. Amjadi), Journal Economic Integration, vol. 14, pp. 497-521, 1999.

"Regionalism versus Multilateralism," Chapter 2, in R.Baldwin, R., D. Cole, A. Sapir, and A. Venables (eds.), Market Integration, Regionalism and the Global Economy, Cambridge University Press, pp.7-49. Reprinted in Pomfret R (ed) Economic Analysis of Regional Trading Arrangements, Edward Elgar, 2002, and reprinted in Anderson K and Hoekman B (ed.s) The Global Trading System, vol. 2, Tauris and Co. London, 2002.

"Trade Policy as Development Policy: Building on Fifty Years' Experience", UNCTAD High Level Round Table Proceedings for Tenth United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Bangkok, February, 2000, also Toye J (ed.) Trade and Development: Directions for the Twenty First Century, Edward Elagr, Cheltenham, 2003.

"Summing Up II," in International Trade Policy and the Pacific Rim, J. Piggott and A. Woodland (eds.), 1998, MacMillan for International Economics Association, pp.400-5.

A Comment on "Regional Roads to Multilateralism" by W. Ethier, in International Trade Policy and the Pacific Rim, J. Piggott and A. Woodland (eds.), 1998, MacMillan for International Economics Association, pp153-6.

"Assessing Regional Integration Arrangements", Chapter IIof Burki J, Perry G and Calvo S (ed.s), Trade: Towards Open Regionalism , The World Bank, 1998, pp. 51-68.

"Message to the World to Don't Discriminate," Canadian Business Economics, vol. 6, No.3, September 1998, pp. 14-19.

"Regionalism and the Next Round," Chapter 4 of Schott J (ed.), Launching NewGlobal Trade Talks: An Action Agenda, Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., 1998, pp. 47-60.

"Africa's Role in Multilateral Trade Negotiations: Past and Future", Journal of African Economies, vol. 7 Supplement 1, June 1998, pp. 1-33, (with Zhen Kun Wang).

"Anti-dumping Actions on America's Imports from Russia", Post-Soviet Geography and Economics, vol. XXXIX, No. 4, 1998, pp183-224 (with Marc Rubin and Andrew Bond).

"Dynamics and Politics in Regional Integration Arrangements: An Introduction," World Bank Economic Review, vol. 12, May 1998, pp. 177-95, (with Maurice Schiff).

"Regional Integration as Diplomacy,"  World Bank Economic Review, vol. 12, May 1998, pp. 271-95, (with Maurice Schiff), reprinted in in H. Singer, N. Hatti and R. Tandon (eds.) Regional Trading Arrangements. vol. 22 of New World Order Series. B.R. Publishing: Delhi.

"The Dynamic Benefits of a Euro-Mediterranean Agreement for Lebanon," in Shahin W and Shehadi K (eds.) Pathways to Integration, Lebanese Centre for Policy Studies, 1997, pp. 33-54.

"What Can European Experience Teach Developing Countries about Integration?," The World Economy, vol. 20, pp. 889-912, 1997.

"What can WTO do for developing countries," (with J.M. Finger), Chapter 14 in A. Krueger (ed.) The WTO as an International Organization, Chicago University Press, 1998, pp. 365-392; reprinted in Anderson K and Hoekman B (ed.s) The Global Trading System, vol. 3, Tauris and Co. London, 2002.

"Regionalism and the Rest of the World:  Theory and Estimates of the Effects of European Integration," Review of International Economics, Supplement to vol. 5, no. 4, pp.134-147, 1997.

"Policies on Imports from Economies in Transition:  Two Case Studies," Studies in Economies in Transformation, No. 22, The World Bank (with P. Ehrenhaft, B. Hindley and C. Michalopoulos).

"Integration and the Rest of the World:  The Irrelevance of the Kemp-Wan Theorem," Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 49, pp. 228-234, 1997.

Comment on D. Brown, A. V. Deardorff, S. Djankov and R. Stern "An Economic Assessment of the Effects of the Integration of Czechoslovakia, Hungary and Poland into the EU", in S. Black (ed.), Europe's Economy Turns East, Cambridge University Press, 1997.

"Experiencas y Lecciones de la Integracion Europea," Chapter 2 of Las Americas:  Integracion Economica en Perspectiva, Inter-American Development Bank, Washington, D.C.  pp. 31-58.

"The Economics of ‘Catching Up' Revisited," in G. Biffl (ed.) Migration, Free Trade and Regional Integration in Central and Eastern Europe, OECD, Paris, 1997.

Comment on "Financial Reform" by P.S. Anderson and W. White, in C. Lluch (ed.) Macroeconomic Policies and Structural Reform, OECD, Paris, pp. 99-102, 1996.

"Structural Reform in OECD Countries:  Critical Interactions with the Rest of the World," chapter in C. Lluch (ed.) Macroeconomic Policies and Structural Reform, OECD, Paris, pp. 317-340, 1996.

"The Uruguay Round:  A Milestone for the Developing Countries," chapter 1 of B. Bora and M. Pangestu, Priority Issues in Trade and Investment Liberalization:  Implications for the Asia Pacific Region, Pacific Economic Cooperation Council, Singapore, 1996.

"The Uruguay Round:  A Milestone for Developing Countries," chapter 1 of W. Martin and L. A. Winters (eds.), The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries, pp. 1-29, 1996.

"Explaining Trade Reorientation in Transition Economies" with B. Kaminski and Z.K. Wang, Economic Policy, No. 23, October 1996, pp. 421-442.

Comment on A.V. Deardorff, "Effects of Trade Liberalization on the Members of a Common Market:  A Lumpy Country Analysis," in M. Canzoneri, W. Ethier and V. Grilli (eds.), The New Transatlantic Economy, Cambridge University Press, pp. 167-168.

"European Integration and Economic Welfare in the Rest of the World," Economie Internationale, No. 65, 1996, pp. 123-142.

Foreign Trade in the Transition:  The International Environment and Domestic Policy, with B. Kaminski and Z.K. Wang, Studies of Economies in Transition, No. 20, The World Bank, 1996.

"The Implications of the Uruguay Round Agreement for Developing Countries," (with A. Lal), Chapter II of Implications of the Uruguay Round Agreements for the Asia and Pacific Region, ESCAP, Bangkok, 1995, pp. 19-46.

"Chile and NAFTA", with D. Leipziger, in Schiff, M. and Sapelli, C. (eds.), Chile en el  NAFTA,  Centro International Para el Descorollo Economico, Santiago, Chile, 1996, pp. 103-109.

"Transportation Costs and Integration in the Americas", Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, vol. 131, 1995, pp. 465-488.

"Trade and Developing Countries," International Review of World Trade, 1996, pp. 45-50, (with W. Martin).

"Trade Performance Depends on Bold Reform," with B. Kaminski and Z.K. Wang, Transition, vol. 6, No. 9-10, pp. 17-18.

The Uruguay Round:  Widening and Deepening the World Trading System, with W. Martin, The World Bank, 1995.

"European Integration and Economic Growth," Chapter 14 of Mackintosh et al. (eds.), Economics and Changing Economies, International Thomson Business Press for Open University, 1996, pp. 457-495.

"Liberalising European Steel Trade," European Economic Review, vol. 39, 1995, pp. 611-621.

"Wider Markets for Trade:  The Uruguay Round," Chapter 2 of  Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries, World Bank, Washington, D. C., 1995, pp. 32-49.

"Energy Pricing for Sustainable Growth in China," (with R. Clarke), Chapter 8 of Goldin and Winters (eds.) The Economics of Sustainable Development, Cambridge University Press, 1995, pp. 200-230.

"The Liberalisation of European Steel Trade," Chapter 7 of Faini, R. and Portes, R. (eds.) European Union Trade with Eastern Europe:  Adjustment and Opportunities, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 1995, pp. 201-235.

"Subsidies in the Final Act of the Uruguay Round," in The New World Trading System, OECD, 1994, pp. 129-133.

"Trade Policy Institutions in Central and Eastern Europe:  Objectives and Outcomes," Chapter 1 of Winters (ed.) Foundations of an Open Economy:  Trade Laws and Institutions for Eastern Europe, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 1995, pp. 1-18.

"Who Should Run Trade Policy in Eastern Europe, and How?" Chapter 2 of Winters (ed.) Foundations of an Open Economy:  Trade Laws and Institutions for Eastern Europe, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 1995, pp. 19-39.

"The EC and Protectionism:  The Political Economy," European Economic Review, vol. 38, 1994, pp. 596-603.

"The Europe Agreements:  With A Little Help From Our Friends," Chapter 13 of Trade, Transfers and Development:  Problems and Prospects for the Twenty-First Century, M. Murshed and K. Roffer (eds.), year ?, pp. 196-209.

"VERs and Expectations:  Extensions and Evidence, Economic Journal, vol. 104, 1994, pp. 113-123.

"Import Surveillance as a Strategic Trade Policy, Chapter 9 of Empirical Models of Strategic Trade Policy, P. R. Krugman and M. A. M. Smith (eds.), Chicago University Press, 1994, pp. 211-232.

"Strategic Manpower Policy and International Trade," (with D. T. Ulph), Chapter 7 of Empirical Models of Strategic Trade Policy, P. R. Krugman and M. A. M. Smith (eds.), Chicago University Press, 1994, pp. 157-194.

"Agriculture in the Uruguay Round:  The LDC Perspective,"  Chapter 8 of Ingersent, K. A., Rayner, A. J., and Hine, R. C. (eds.), Agriculture in the Uruguay Round,  MacMillan, 1994, pp. 157-191.

"The Europe Agreements:  An Assessment," Chapter III of Patterns of Production and Trade in the New Europe, EFTA/CEPR, EFTA, Geneva, 1993, pp. 59-64.

"The Europe Agreements," Transition, vol. 4, No. 48, October 1993, pp. 11-12.

"Threats to the Single Market," European Economic Perspectives, No. 1, October 1993, pp. 2-3.

"The Satellite Industry - A Comment," Economic Policy, No. 17, October 1993, pp. 427-429.

"Do Exporters Gain from VERs," (with J. de Melo), European Economic Review, vol. 37, 1993, pp. 1331-1350.

"The European Communities:  A Case of Successful Integration?" Chapter 7 of de Melo, J. and Panagariya, A., A New Dimension in Regional Integration, CUP, 1993, pp. 202-227.

"Expanding EC Membership and Association Accords:  Recent Experience and Future Prospects," Chapter in Anderson, K. and Blackhurst, R. (eds.) Regionalism and World Trade, Harverster-Wheatsheaf, 1993, pp. 104-125.

"Price and Quality Effects of VERs Revisited:  A Case Study of Korean Footwear Exports," Journal of Economic Integration, vol. 8 1993, pp. 33-37.

"The Political Economy of Industrial Countries' Agricultural Policies," Chapter 3 of Coleman, D. and Reyner, A. (eds.) Current Issues in Agricultural Economics, MacMillan, 1993, pp. 11-31.

"Modelling Quantitative Trade Restrictions:  The Role of Rationing,"with P. A. Brenton),  De Economist, vol. 141, 1993, pp 112-126.

"Voluntary Export Restraints and Rationing:  UK Leather Footwear Imports from Eastern Europe," (with P. A. Brenton) Journal of International Economics, vol. 34, 1993, pp. 289-308.

"The Trading Potential of Eastern Europe," (with Z. K. Wang), Journal of Economic Integration, vol. 7, 1992, pp. 113-136.

"European Trade and Welfare after ‘1992'," Chapter 1 of Trade Flows and Trade Policy after 1992, Winters, L. A. (ed.), CUP, 1992, pp. 3-31.

"Bilateral Trade Elasticities for Exploring the Effects of 1992," (with P. A. Brenton), Chapter 10 of Trade Flows and Trade Policy after 1992, Winters, L. A. (ed.) CUP, 1992, pp. 266-285.

"Trade Policy, Integration and the European Footwear Market," Chapter of Trade Flows and Trade Policy after 1992, Winters, L. A. (ed.), CUP, 1992, pp. 175-209.

"The Europe Agreements:  With a Little Help from our Friends," Chapter 4 of The Association Process:  Making it Work, Occasional Paper No. 11, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 1992, pp. 17-33.  Translated into Hungarian, Kulgazdasag, vol. 37, No. 7.

"Goals and Own Goals in European Trade Policy," The World Economy, vol. 15, 1992, pp. 556-574.

"The Trade and Welfare Effects of Greenhouse Gas Abatement:  A Survey of Empirical Estimates," Chapter 5 of Anderson, K., and Blackhurst, R. (eds.) The Greening of World Trade Issues, Harvester-Wheatsheaf, London, 1992, pp. 95-114.

"The Policy and Welfare Implications of the International Trade Consequences of ‘1992'," American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, vol. 82, 1992, pp. 104-108.

"Estimating the International Trade Effects  of ‘1992':  West Germany," Journal of Common Market Studies, vol. 30, 1992, pp. 143-156.

"Partner Interests in Customs Union Formation:  An Economic View," Section VI of Demaret, P., Bourgeois, J., and van Bael, I. (eds.), Trade Laws of the European Community and the United States in a Comparative Perspective, Story Scientia, Brussels, 1992, pp. 285-290.

"Opening Up Trade in Eastern Europe," with Carl Hamilton, Economic Policy, No. 14, April 1992, pp. 78-116.

"Who Wins and Who Loses from Voluntary Export Restraints?  The Case of Footwear," with C. B. Hamilton and J. de Melo, The World Bank Research Observer, vol. 7, 1992, pp. 17-34.

"The Effects of 1992 on the USA:  A Comment," G. Yannopoulous (ed.), Europe and America, 1992:  US-EC Economic Relations - the Single European Market, Manchester University Press, 1991, pp. 74-76.

"GATT:  The Uruguay Round," The Economic Review, vol. 9, No. 2,  1991, pp. 25-27.

"Labour Adjustment Costs and British Footwear Protection," with W. E. Takacs, Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 43, 1991, pp. 479-501.

"On the Virtues of an Independent Trade Policy:  The UK's Accession to the EC," Chapter 9 of EFTA Countries in a Changing World, EFTA, July 1991, pp. 165-186.

"Perspectives on Trade and Trade Policy," Chapter 3 of International Trade and Global Development, A. Koekkoek and L. B. M. Mennes (eds.), Routledge, London, 1991, pp. 43-61.

"International Trade and ‘1992':  An Overview," European Economic Review, vol. 35, 1991, pp. 367-377.

"The World Talks I:  An Introduction to the GATT," The Economic Review, vol. 8, No. 5, May 1991, pp. 25-28.

"Quantifying the Economic Effects of Non-Tariff Barriers:  The Case of U.K. Footwear," Kyklos, vol. 44, 1991, pp. 71-92, (with P. A. Brenton).

"Digging for Victory:  Agricultural Policy and National Security," The World Economy, vol. 13, 1991, pp. 170-190.

"The Road to Uruguay," The Economic Journal, vol. 100, 1990, pp. 1288-1303.  To be reprinted in Rueter, T. (ed.) The USA in World Political Economy:  A Reader.

"Voluntary Export Restraints and Resource Allocation in Exporting Countries," with J. de Melo, The World Bank Economic Review, vol. 4, 1990, pp. 209-233.

"Voluntary Export Restraints and the Prices of U. K. Imports of Footwear," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, vol. 126, 1990, pp. 523-543.

"Capital Controls in Argentina, Chile and Uruguay:  A Comment," in International Finance and the Less Developed Countries, K. Phylaktis, M. Pradhan (eds.), Macmillan, 1990, pp. 151-152.

"Assessing Trade and Welfare Effects of Trade Liberalisation:  A Comment," European Economic Review, vol. 34, 1990, pp. 748-751.

"The Role of Partial Equilibrium Agricultural Models in Agricultural Trade Liberalisation:  Implications for Developing Countries," Goldin, I. and Knudsen, O. (eds.), OECD, 1990, Paris, pp. 453-455.  (also in French).

"The ‘So-Called Non-Economic Objectives' of Agricultural Policy," OECD Economic Studies No. 13, Winter 1989-1990, pp. 237-266.

"Les effets du Grand marche de 1992," Economie Prospective Internationale, No. 40, 1989, pp. 7-18.

"Agricultural Policies in Industrial Countries," The Economic Review, vol. 7, 1989, pp. 37-40.

"Plain Speaking on 1992," University of Wales Business and Economics Review, Winter 1988 (published June 1989), pp. 49-54.

"Two Cheers for Uruguay," Inaugural Lecture, University College of North Wales, Bangor, 1989.

"Trends in Manufactured Trade:  Does Trade Policy Matter?" Chapter 3 of Causes of Changes in the Structure of International Trade, J. Black and A. MacBean (eds.), Macmillan, 1989, pp. 24-59.

"Completing the European Internal Market:  Some Notes on Trade Policy," European Economic Review, vol. 32, 1988, pp. 1477-1500.

"Comment," (on Smith and Kierzkowski) in Baldwin, R. A., Hamilton, C., and Sapir, A. (eds.), Europe-United States Trade Relations, Chicago University Press, for the National Bureau of Economic Research.

"Import Equations for Global Projections," with Kathleen Yu, The Journal of International Finance and Foreign Exchange, vol. II, 1988, pp. 44-56.

"The Political Economy of the Agricultural Policy of Industrial Countries, European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 14, 1987, pp. 285-304; translated and reprinted in Analisis institucional de politicas agrarias, J. M. Garcia Alvarez-Coque(e), M.A.P.A. (Agriculture Ministry), Madrid, pp. 217-248.

"Models of Primary Price Indices," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 49, 1987, pp. 307-322.

"Reciprocity," Chapter 7 of J. M. Finger and A. Olechowski (eds.), A Handbook on the Multilateral Trade Negotiations, 1987, The World Bank, Washington, D.C., also available in French and Spanish; reprinted in Anderson K and Hoekman B (ed.s) The Global Trading System, vol. 2, Tauris and Co. London, 2002.

"The Economic Consequences of Agricultural Support:  A Survey," Economic Studies, No. 9, Autumn, 1987, pp. 7-54; to be translated and reprinted in The Quarterly Review of the Instituto de Estudios Economicos, Madrid.

"Britain in Europe:  A Survey of Quantitative Trade Studies," Journal of Common Market Studies, vol. 25, 1987, pp. 315-335; reprinted in Studies in Economic Integration, A. Jacqueman and A. Sapir (eds.), Oxford University Press, 1989.

"Negotiating the Removal of Non-Tariff Barriers," Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 39, 1987, pp. 465-480; reprinted in Anderson K and Hoekman B (ed.s) The Global Trading System, vol. 2, Tauris and Co. London, 2002.

"An Empirical Intertemporal Model of Developing Countries' Imports," Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, vol. 123, 1987, pp. 58-80.

"The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition of Economic Time Series:  A Quick Computational Method," with J. T. Cuddington, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 19, 1987, pp. 125-127.

"The Extent of Industrial Countries' Non-Tariff Barriers to International Trade," with J. J. Nogues and A. Olechowski, The World Bank Economic Review, vol. 1, 1986, pp. 181-199.

"Britain's Trade:  Has Europe Made a Difference?" The Bulletin, Centre for Economic Policy Research, No. 13, June 1986, pp. 3-7.

"Separability and the Modelling of Economic Integration:  U. K. Exports to Five Industrial Countries," European Economic Review, vol. 27, 1985, pp. 335-353.

"Imports of Developing Countries:  An Empirical Model of Intertemporal Allocation and Financial Constraints," Staff Working Paper No. 740, The World Bank, 1985.

"Patterns of International Trade, 1950-1980," The Economic Review, vol. 1, 1984, pp. 33-38.

"Separability and the Specification of Foreign Trade Functions," Journal of International Economics, vol. 17, 1984, pp. 239-263.

"Britain's Trade Patterns since Joining the Common Market," British Review of Economic Issues, vol. 4, 1982, pp. 17-46.

‘British Imports of Manufactures and the Common Market, Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 36, 1983, pp. 103-118.

"The European Communities and the United Kingdom's International Trade," evidence submitted to the House of Lords Select Committee on the European Communities, 7th Report, 1983-84, pp. 369-387.

"The Consequences of Devaluing Sterling," evidence to the House of Common's Treasury and Civil Service Committee, 4th Report, vol. 3, House of Commons Paper 21, 1982-83, pp. 96-136.

"Price Adjustment and Market Structure: A Comment," The Economic Journal, vol. 91, 1981, pp. 1026-1030.

"The Cambridge Multisectoral Dynamic Model:  An Instrument for National Economic Policy Analysis," with T. S. Barker, V. K. Borooah, and F. van der Ploeg, Journal of Policy Modelling, vol. 2, 1980, pp. 319-344.

"Aggregation in Logarithmic Models:  Some Experiments with U. K. Exports," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, February 1980, pp. 36-60, and Reply to a comment, November 1981, pp. 367-369.

"The Accounting Framework of Certain Balance of Payments Theories:  A Didactic Note," Journal of Economic Studies, May 1978, pp. 31-36.

"Britain's Three Economic Options," with T. S. Barker and A. W. A. Peterson, The Observer, 15 January 1978.

"Exports," Chapter 6, pp. 131-161 of T. S. Barker (ed.), Economic Structure and Policy, Chapman and Hall, London, 1976.

‘United Kingdom Exports and the Pressure of Demand:  A Note," The Economic Journal, vol. 84, 1974, pp. 623-28.

 

 

Books and Special Issues of Journals

Critical Perspectives on the World Trading System: The WTO and Poverty and Inequality. Ed.  Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007; 2 volumes

Dancing with Giants: China, India, and the Global Economy. L. Alan Winters and Shahid Yusuf, eds., The World Bank and Institute of Policy Studies, 2007.

Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda. Thomas W. Hertel and L. Alan Winters, eds., Palgrave Macmillan and the World Bank, 2006.

Sharing the Gains from Trade: Reviving the Doha Round, A Study Group Report, Group of Thirty, Washington, D.C., 2004.

Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2004 (with Merlinda Ingco).

Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics (ed.) Chicago University Press for NBER, (with Robert E Baldwin), including authored Introduction, 2004

Bridging the Differences: Analyses of Five Issues of the WTO Agenda, (editor), Consumer Unity Trust Society, Jaipur, India, September 2003

Expanding WTO Rules? A Federal Trust Report on the Singapore Issues, Federal Trust, London, (with 17 others).

Liberalising Labour Mobility under the GATS, Economic Paper, No 53, Commonwealth Secretariat, 2003, (with Terrie Walmsley, Zhen Kun Wang and Roman Grynberg)

Regional Integration and Development, Oxford University Press for World Bank (with Maurice Schiff), 2003. Translated into French, Spanish, Chinese, Arabic.

Making Sense of Globalization: A Guide to the Economic Issues, CEPR, June 2002, with ten others

Agricultural Trade Liberalisation in a New Round: Perspectives of Developing Countries and Transition Economies, Discussion Paper No 418, The World Bank, with Merlinda Ingco.

Trade Liberalisation and Poverty: A Handbook, (with Neil McCulloch and Xavier Cirera), Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, October 2001.

Trade Blocs, Policy Research Report, The World Bank, July 2000 (initiator of project and co-author with P Collier, M Schiff and A J Venables).

The Dynamics and Politics of Regionalism, World Bank Economic Review, May 1998, editor with Maurice Schiff.

The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries, edited with W. Martin, Cambridge University Press, 1996.

The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies, edited with W. Martin, World Bank Discussion Paper, No. 307, (1995).

Romania:  Restructuring to Face the World Economy, Trade Expansion Program Report, The World Bank, 1995.

The Economics of Sustainable Development, editor, with Ian Goldin, Cambridge University Press, 1995.

Foundations of an Open Economy:  Trade Laws and Trade Institutions for Emerging Market Economies, editor, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, 1995.

Series Editor Mitsui Lectures in Economics, Basil Blackwell, Oxford:  monographs by William Baumol, Stephen Nickell, and Paul Krugman.

Surveys in International Trade, editor, with David Greenaway, Blackwell, Oxford, 1994.

Eastern Europe's International Trade, with Z. K. Wang, Manchester University Press, London, 1992.

Trade Flows and Trade Policy after 1992, editor, Cambridge University Press, London, 1992.

Monitoring European Integration 3:  Is Bigger Better?  The Economics of Enlargement, with eight others, principal editor of the report and author of two sections, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, 1992.

Open Economies, Structural Adjustment and Agriculture, (edited with I. Goldin), Cambridge University Press, London, May 1992.

The Macroeconomic Effects of Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions, (with G. Boero and R. Clarke), HMSO, November 1991.

New Issues in the Uruguay Round, vol. 13, no. 3 of The World Economy, edited with R. E. Baldwin, second International Seminar in International Trade (published May 1991).

European Integration:  Trade and Industry, editor, Cambridge University Press, May 1991 (with Tony Venables).

Monitoring European Integration:  The Impact of Eastern Europe, with nine others, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, 1990.

Primary Commodities Prices:  Economic Models and Policies, editor and author of Introduction, Cambridge University Press for The Centre for Economic Policy Research, 1990 (with D. R. Sapsford).

Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, September 1989, guest-editor, with R. E. Baldwin, proceedings of the first International Seminar in International Trade, Oxford, August 1988.

Europe's Domestic Market, Chatham House Paper No. 43, with Jacques Pelkmans and Helen Wallace, April 1988.  (Translated into Japanese 1990).

International Economics, 1985, second extensively revised edition May 1991, Routledge.

Policy and Performance in International Trade, joint editor, the proceedings of a three-day conference that I organized in September 1981; Macmillan, 1983.

IDIOM - A User's Handbook, UNIDO, Vienna UNIDO/IS.378, March 1983.

An Econometric Model of the Export Sector:  U.K. Visible Exports and their Prices, 1955-73, extended and revised version of my Ph.D. dissertation, published by Cambridge University Press as No. 4 of Cambridge Studies in Applied Econometrics, 1981.

 

Forthcoming and Current Working Papers

‘World Economy: North-South Trade', entry in Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy 

"Economic Integration in East Asia",chapter 6 in Fujita, M, S Kumagai and K Nishikimi (ed.s) Economic Integration in East Asia: Perspectives from Neo-classical and Spatial Economics, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham

 ‘Why Isn't the Doha Development Agenda More Poverty Friendly?',(with Thomas W. Hertel, Roman Keeney, and Maros Ivanic), submitted to Review of Development Economics

‘Who is coming from Vanuatu to New Zealand under the new Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE) Program?' Economics Working Paper 09/08 Waikato University, New Zealand. June 2008, (with David McKenzie and Pilar Garcia Martinez)

‘Migration and Economic Globalisation: Is the Labour Market Globalising?, Social Science Research Council, New York. April, 2008.

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